Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Best Market Leverage for Tenants in Decades—Grubb & Ellis Market Trends March 2009

March 2009 office market highlights:

  • Changing real estate climate creates a tenants market.
  • Tenants gain leverage due to influx of supply and slowdown in demand.
  • Select landlords facing declining property values give tenants opportunity to renegotiate existing leases in advance of expiration.

Here's the report

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

"By Virtue Of" or Stuyvesant Town, Peter Cooper Village & J-51 - What it all means . . .

As you may have heard, the appellate court earlier this month ruled that New York City residential buildings receiving J-51 tax benefits can not convert rent-stabilized apartments into market-rate units under the city's luxury decontrol laws under any circumstances. Further, it ruled that landlords that have done so in the past, must return the rent gains to current and former tenants.


To understand the repurcussions of this decision, you first have to understand that the J-51 tax benefits are, what they say and what they mean. If I had all the answers, I'd be very rich and influential, but I'll take a shot at making sense of it.

To put it simply, J-51 tax benefits provide tax breaks to landlords who renovate existing rental apartments. In exchange for receiving these benefits, landlords must subject the units in their buildings to rent stabilization. They may not destabilize these units until the tax benefits expire. Now . . . here's the catch. Many of the buildings that receive J-51 tax benefits already were stabilized before the landlords received the benefit.

The question is, can these units be deregulated, since they were already stabilized when the J-51 tax benefits took effect?

To answer this question, the judges went back to the rent stabilization law, which says that units are exempt from luxury decontrol if they "become" rent stabilized "by virute of" receiving J-51 tax benefits. So, the new question is, does "by virtue of" mean "solely by virtue of" - meaning that pre J-51 stabilized apts. could be destabilized or does it mean "in-part by virtue of" - meaning that no stabilized apts could be destabilized?

For what it's worth, wiktionary defines "by virtue of" as "because of; on the grounds of; by reason of; due to; based on." Based on this, it would seem to me, that only units stabilized as a result of the J-51, are restricted from destabilization. As attorney Stephen Meister (who filed an Amicus Curiae brief on behalf of the Real Estate Board of NY) notes, the fact that the law says "become" stabilized further points to the fact that the restriction on luxury decontrol does not pertain to existing stabilized buildings. Any lawyers I've asked about this, as well as the Supreme Court of NY County (based on the 2007 decision) and the DHCR (Department of Housing & Community Renewal) agree. However, this decision was overturned by the latest verdict of the appellate court. Of course, Tishman Speyer is appealing and has already been granted a stay.

So, what does this all mean to NYC real estate?

In my opinion, if the opinion of the appellate court is not overturned, it will be a horrible blow for NYC real estate. First, many landlords will have to return billions of dollars in rent overpayments to tenants and past tenants in nearly 80,000 units. Second, many of those same landlords will default on their loans, loans that were underwritten based on the successful deregulation of stabilized apartments. With landlords defaulting left and right already, this is big trouble for NYC real estate and the NYC economy.

Many of you may say, well, what about the poor lower and middle income tenants that the appellate court's interpretation of this law protects? To that I say, read my last blog post! This ruling only protects tenants who make $175,000 per year or more, who live in stabilized apartments. I can't say that I feel sorry for these "lower and middle class" people. The fact of the matter is, living in Manhattan, or NYC for the matter is not an entitlement.

Friday, March 6, 2009

The Case for Rent Deregulation

Since this is a commercial real estate blog, I have avoided the topic of rent regulation, but the fact is, that rent regulation has a huge impact on real estate owners that we represent, and this is a topic that I'm passionate about, so here it goes.


First, let me explain what rent regulation is in NYC. There are 2 major forms of rent regulation - Rent Control, and Rent Stabilization - there's also public housing, Mitchell Lama, etc. - but I'm not getting into that today.


Rent control only applies to 2% of NYC apartments, and will soon cease to exist as it is limited to existing tenants and inheriting a rent controlled apartment is quite difficult. If you want to know more about rent control and MBR (Maximum Base Rent), visit: http://www.housingnyc.com/html/resources/dhcr/dhcr1.html.

Rent Stabilization applies to a whopping 48% of NYC apartments and a much higher percentage of Manhattan apartments. Rent Stabilization basically stipulates, that as long as a tenant lives in an apartment with rent under $2,000, that tenant's rent cannot be increased more than the set percentage set by the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB). That set percentage generally is somewhere between 2.5-4.5% per year. The only way an apartment can be destabilized, is if the rent on the apartment hits $2,000 AND the tenant makes $175,000 or more, or if the apt is vacated and reaches $2,000 a month. The apt can reach $2,000 a month on vacancy in a couple of ways. First, the RGB sets a higher % that an apartment's rent can be increased on vacancy. Right now that number is 17%. Second, When an apt. is vacated, a landlord can make improvements to the apartment and allocate 1/40th of the value of the improvements to the monthly rent. Therefore, if an $850 apartment is vacated, the Landlord can first raise the rent to $995 dollars. Then, the landlord can make $41,000 in improvements to the apartment. After allocating 1/40th of the improvements to the apartment, the rent is now $2,020 and Voila, the apartment is destabilized.

It seems relatively simple for a landlord to destabilize an apartment, and it is, but ONLY, if the tenant vacates, and that's the big catch. The fact of the matter is, once people get rent stabilized apartments, they don't leave . . . it's too good of a deal. This creates a system that inflates rents for everyone else. It is anti-capitalistic, prevents new residents from moving to New York City, and discriminates against the "new middle class." Don't believe me? Think of this: ONLY 1/3 OF NEW YORK CITY RENTALS ARE AT MARKET RATES. Of those, only 3% are available at any given time. To make matters worse, less than 1/3 of Manhattan rentals are at market rates, and the vacancy rate is only 2.24%.

Anyone who's taken Econ 101, or has a little bit of common sense understands the concept of supply and demand. If supply is low, the demand for what limit supply exists is inflated, and price increases. That is what happens with NYC rentals, and particularly Manhattan rentals. Imagine how much lower prices would be, if there were no more rent stabilization.

Now, it's only fair that I address the comments of advocates of rent stabilization. They claim, that if you get rid of stabilization, you will displace millions of middle class people and New York will become a city of the very rich and the very poor. Interesting theory, and to some extent it has merit, but is a cheap apartment in Manhattan an entitlement? I have many friends who would love to live in Manhattan, but cannot or choose not to because the rents are too high. Are the recent college graduate middle class less important than the middle aged entitled middle class?

Besides which, rent stabilization does nothing to protect the middle class, it just protects the status quo. If you make a million dollars a year and your stabilized apartment is $500 a month, do you get a larger increase in rent? There answer is no! Your apartment will go up 4.5% this year, the same number as everyone else. Hell, Governor Patterson, has 1 rent stabilized apartment and Representative Charlie Rangel has 3. Is that fair? Is it fair that in the same building, 1 resident has a 3 bedroom apartment for $568, and another a 1 bedroom for $2,200?

To make matters worse, the assembly just passed bills which will raise the rent at which apartments get deregulated to $5,000, and raise the income limit to $240,000.

Let's think about what would happen right now if rent stabilization were abolished.

First, stabilized tenants will be in a bind - no question.
  • Some would pay a higher rent and stay where they are - given the tough economy, they'd be in a much better position to negotiate with their landlords then they would have been in a year ago.
  • Some will move to cheaper neighborhoods or boroughs.
  • Some will move out of the city entirely. They will rent in the suburbs, or use the money they saved by being rent stabilized to purchase a house.
Second, increased supply in this economy will significantly decrease rents across the board.
  • Many people who otherwise would not think they could afford to live in NY will move here. This will bolster the NY economy and compensate for people moving out.
  • People at risk of losing their apartments along with their jobs will be able to stick it out a little longer and until things start to recover.
Third, landlords will raise rents in formerly stabilized apartments.
  • To get higher rents, landlords will need to invest significantly in their buildings and apartments. While before they had no incentive to fix up their buildings, now the incentive is clear. The blight of rundown buildings will be gone from the city.
  • Apartment buildings will start to sell again, and for a lot more money. Transfer taxes, capital gains and the like will be a windfall for the city of New York.
  • Owners that recently purchased buildings and are at risk of default will no longer default on their loans.
Fourth, higher rents will mean higher assessed values for buildings.
  • Higher assessments means more tax revenue for the city. This means more money to invest in jobs, infrastructure, etc.
So, you decide. Is rent stabilization a fair system? Does it really protect the middle class? Is it good for the economy? Is it good for society? Is a 3 bedroom apartment in Manhattan for $600 a month an entitlement? Is an apartment in Manhattan an entitlement?

For more on this topic read: